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A list of all the posts and pages found on the site. For you robots out there is an XML version available for digesting as well.
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About Julian Walterskirchen
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Posts
AFK METHODS WORKSHOP AT THE BUNDESWEHR UNIVERSITY IN MUNICH
Published:
The methods working group of the German Association of Peace and Conflict Studies (AFK) held its 8th workshop on “Empirical Research on Peace and Conflict” on September 5th and 6th, 2023, at the University of the Bundeswehr University in Munich. The workshop was organized in cooperation with the Center for Crisis Early Warning (CCEW). The workshop focused on the application of various qualitative and quantitative methods in conflict research and explicitly encouraged early-career researchers to present their work. During the workshop, the 23 participants presented contributions on various aspects of peace and conflict research, such as gender-based violence, peace processes, post-conflict scenarios, and the use of unstructured data.
portfolio
OcODi Streamlit App
Explore OcODi in our Streamlit App 
Taking time seriously: Predicting conflict fatalities using temporal fusion transformers
Companion Streamlit App for our contribution to the VIEWS prediction challenge 2023/24 
UN General Assembly Stance Streamlit App
Explore how positively and negatively countries talk about each other in this Streamlit App 
presentations
Presentation at NEPS 2017
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Attended my co-author’s presentation of “A Cross-National Analysis of Forced Population Resettlement in Counterinsurgency Campaigns” at the European Peace Science Conference 2017.
Presentation at COMPTEXT 2022
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We presented “Introducing an Interpretable Deep Learning Approach to Domain-Specific Dictionary Creation: A Use Case for Conflict Prediction” at the COMPTEXT conference 2022.
Presentation at the AFK Methods Workshop 2022
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Presented “ Do alliances deter civil conflict? Assessing the effect of military alliances on the onset of intrastate violence.” at the AFK Methods Empirical Research on Peace and Conflict Workshop 2022 (https://afk-web.de/cms/arbeitskreise-der-afk/arbeitskreis-methoden/).
Presentation at COMPTEXT 2023
Published:
Presented “The Impact of Sanctions Imposition Coordination: A Time-Varying Measure of EU and US Sanctions Coordination in the Cases of Russia, Iran, and North Korea” at the COMPTEXT conference 2023.
Invited Talk: Machine Learning Seminar at the Institut Barcelona d’Estudis Internacionals
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Presentation at NEPS 2023
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Attended my co-author’s presentation of “Friend or Foe: Using Aspect-Based Sentiment Analysis to Measure Relations between Member States at the UN General Assembly” at the European Peace Science Conference 2023.
Presentation at the AFK Methods Workshop 2023
Published:
Presented “Friend or Foe: Using Aspect-Based Sentiment Analysis to Measure Relations between Member States at the UN General Assembly” at the AFK Methods Empirical Research on Peace and Conflict Workshop 2023 (https://afk-web.de/cms/arbeitskreise-der-afk/arbeitskreis-methoden/).
Presentation at the CCEW Symposium 2023
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Presented “The Promises and Pitfalls of using Text as Data for Crisis-Early Warning: A Comparative Assessment of NLP Methods for Conflict Prediction” at the Center for Crisis Early Warning Symposium 2023.
publications
A Cross-National Analysis of Forced Population Resettlement in Counterinsurgency Campaigns
Published in Peace Economics, Peace Science and Public Policy, 2019
In this paper we study the use of Forced Population Resettlement in Counterinsurgency Campaigns.
Recommended citation: Böhmelt, Tobias, Dworschak, Christoph, Pilster, Ulrich and Walterskirchen, Julian. "A Cross-National Analysis of Forced Population Resettlement in Counterinsurgency Campaigns" Peace Economics, Peace Science and Public Policy, vol. 26, no. 1, 2020, pp. 20190022. https://doi.org/10.1515/peps-2019-0022 https://doi.org/10.1515/peps-2019-0022
Sanction Dynamics in the Cases of North Korea, Iran, and Russia
Published in SpringerBriefs in International Relations, 2022
In this book, we analyse the complete life cycle of sanctions in three case studies.
Recommended citation: Walterskirchen, J., Mangott, G., Wend, C. (2022). Sanction Dynamics in the Cases of North Korea, Iran, and Russia: Objectives, Measures and Effects. SpringerBriefs in International Relations. doi:10.1007/978-3-031-17397-4 https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-17397-4
Introducing an Interpretable Deep Learning Approach to Domain-Specific Dictionary Creation: A Use Case for Conflict Prediction
Published in Political Analysis, 2023
In this paper, we introduce an interpretable deep learning approach to automatic dictionary creation for conflict research.
Recommended citation: Häffner, S., Hofer, M., Nagl, M., & Walterskirchen, J. (2023). Introducing an Interpretable Deep Learning Approach to Domain-Specific Dictionary Creation: A Use Case for Conflict Prediction. Political Analysis, 31(4), 481-499. doi:10.1017/pan.2023.7 https://doi.org/10.1017/pan.2023.7
Replication of The Morning After: Report from the Nottingham Replication Games
Published in SocArXiv, 2023
As part of the Nottingham Replication Games (I4R) we replicated “The morning after: cabinet instability and the purging of ministers after failed coup attempts in autocracies”.
Recommended citation: Oswald, C., Walterskirchen, J., Häffner, S., Binetti, M. N., & Dworschak, C. (2023, July 5). Replication of The Morning After: Report from the Nottingham Replication Games. https://doi.org/10.31235/osf.io/a2d5p https://doi.org/10.31235/osf.io/a2d5p
Computational and Robustness Reproducibility of UN Peacekeeping and Democratization in Conflict-Affected Countries
Published in EconStor, 2024
As part of the Replication Games (I4R) we replicated UN Peacekeeping and Democratization in Conflict-Affected Countries.
Recommended citation: Oswald, C., Walterskirchen, J. (2023, July 5). Computational and Robustness Reproducibility of UN Peacekeeping and Democratization in Conflict-Affected Countries. https://hdl.handle.net/10419/301427 https://hdl.handle.net/10419/301427
teaching
Statistics for Sociel Sciences using R
Undergraduate course, University of Innsbruck, Department of Political Science, 2019
I was teaching the Proseminar Statistics for Sociel Sciences using R to undergraduate Sociology and Political Science students at the University of Innsbruck.
Statistics for Sociel Sciences using R
Undergraduate course, University of Innsbruck, Department of Political Science, 2020
I was teaching the Proseminar Statistics for Sociel Sciences using R to undergraduate Sociology and Political Science students at the University of Innsbruck.
Applied Methods of Social Sciences
Undergraduate Course, University of Innsbruck, Department of Political Science, 2020
I was teaching the Proseminar Applied Methods of Social Sciences to undergraduate Sociology and Political Science students at the University of Innsbruck.
workinprogress
The night before or the morning after: Coup risk, failed coup attempts, and minister removals in autocracies
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In this paper, we investigate if coup risk is a better indicator for minister removals than failed coup attempt.
Recommended citation: Oswald, C., Walterskirchen, J., Häffner, S., Binetti, M.N., Dworschak, C. (in progress). The night before or the morning after: Coup risk, failed coup attempts, and minister removals in autocracies
The Promises and Pitfalls of using Text as Data for Crisis-Early Warning: A Comparative Assessment of NLP Methods for Conflict Prediction
Published:
In this paper, we compare different NLP approaches and their potential for improving conflict prediction
Recommended citation: Walterskirchen, J., Häffner, S. (in progress). The Promises and Pitfalls of using Text as Data for Crisis-Early Warning: A Comparative Assessment of NLP Methods for Conflict Prediction
The Impact of Sanctions Imposition Coordination: A Time-Varying Measure of EU and US Sanctions Coordination in the Cases of Russia, Iran, and North Korea
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In this paper, we seek to measure sanctions coordination between the US and the EU using NLP techniques.
Recommended citation: Walterskirchen, J., Häffner, S. (in progress). The Impact of Sanctions Imposition Coordination: A Time-Varying Measure of EU and US Sanctions Coordination in the Cases of Russia, Iran, and North Korea
Enhancing Conflict Prediction: Investigating Temporal Dynamics and Spatial Dependencies through Deep Learning and Transformer-Based Architectures
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This paper is part of the VIEWS prediction challenge.
Recommended citation: Walterskirchen, J., Häffner, S., Oswald, C., Binetti, M.N., Dworschak, C. (in progress). Enhancing Conflict Prediction: Investigating Temporal Dynamics and Spatial Dependencies through Deep Learning and Transformer-Based Architectures
The Toolkit of Indiscriminate Targeting: Forced Resettlement and Mass Killing
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In this paper, we investigate how countries apply different strategies of indiscriminate targeting.
Recommended citation: Dworschak, C., Walterskirchen, J. (in progress). The Toolkit of Indiscriminate Targeting: Forced Resettlement and Mass Killing
Friend or Foe: Using Aspect-Based Sentiment Analysis to Measure Relations between Member States at the UN General Assembly
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In this paper, we apply stance detection to UN General Assembly speeches.
Recommended citation: Häffner, S., Walterskirchen, J. (in progress). Hostile Rhetoric at the UN General Assembly: Using Aspect-Based Sentiment Analysis to Measure Relations between Member States